The MERIT randomised trial reported 13.6% average total body weight loss after ESG at one year. A prospective single-centre cohort included 216 patients overall; 68 were eligible for five-year follow-up, and 82% of those had complete follow-up. Mean five-year TBWL was 15.9%. Ten-year conference reporting is emerging evidence and should not be used as a confirmed individual prediction until the original source is verified. Sleeve surgery generally produces more weight loss at 6–24 months, but requires lifelong nutritional monitoring after permanent stomach removal.
Reflux is another decision point. New reflux was reported in 1.3% in the MERIT ESG trial; a surgical sleeve can cause or worsen reflux in some patients. Existing reflux, a hiatal hernia, medicines, BMI and previous procedures should be discussed before choosing.